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Ealing and Northfield

Man up Councillor Bell

The trained economist is whinging again. According to his piece in the Gazette yesterday:

The Labour administration at Ealing Council is between a rock and a hard place.

It is not like he was unaware of the financial climate earlier this year when he wrote his party’s manifesto for Ealing. He said then in relation to Labour’s approach to council tax that they would be:

Keeping your council tax low with a freeze in the first year.

Presumably if the Coalition is the “rock” he referred to, then the “hard place” is his own manifesto commitment. Ooops. The previous Conservative administration refused to make that same commitment precisely because we understood fully the financial storm to come as Jason Stacey pointed out in his Gazette column last week.

As we see with the proposed increase in parking charges, the equivalent of a 2% rise in council tax to be bought in three months early, we know that Labour’s instinct will be to cut frontline services and to ramp charges rather than to look at the council’s own internal costs which are largely dominated by labour costs.

Bell goes on to say:

We are facing an unprecedented level of cuts in our budgets over the next four years given the coalition government’s ideological choice to slash public spending by unnecessary amounts and at a reckless speed.

It seems our own trained economist is at odds with the IMF’s latest assessment:

Economic recovery is underway, unemployment has stabilized, and financial sector health has improved. The government’s strong and credible multi-year fiscal deficit reduction plan is essential to ensure debt sustainability. The plan greatly reduces the risk of a costly loss of confidence in public finances and supports a balanced recovery. Fiscal tightening will dampen short-term growth but not stop it as other sectors of the economy emerge as drivers of recovery, supported by continued monetary stimulus.

Bell finally goes into a deficit denying rant:

Finally and most importantly we will make it very clear who is responsible for these cuts – the Conservative LibDem coalition. The local Tories (and the largely irrelevant local LibDems due to their miniscule size) are trying to pretend that they are the protectors of local services and that the coalition government is nothing to do with them – a ludicrous and deeply dishonest position.

If they really want to protect local services they should either persuade their national parties to stop swinging the axe with such gusto or disassociate themselves from them by going independent or even crossing the floor and joining Labour.

The local Conservatives fully accept the Coalition’s programme and also recognise that these hard choices are driven by the nation’s need to control the budget deficit which was £155 billion last year and will be £149 billion in the current year. Our borrowing requirement in just the month of August was £15.9 billion or £545 for every worker in Britain. This is Gordon Brown’s poisonous legacy of debt.

Bell is out there with the likes of Ken Livingstone and the unions in taking this extreme deficit denying line. Even his new leader on Tuesday said:

Let me say, I believe strongly that we need to reduce the deficit. There will be cuts and there would have been if we had been in government. Some of them will be painful and would have been if we were in government. I won’t oppose every cut the coalition proposes. There will be some things the coalition does that we won’t like as a party but we will have to support. And come the next election there will be some things they have done that I will not be able to reverse. I say this because the fiscal credibility we earned before 1997 was hard won and we must win it back by the time of the next general election. I am serious about reducing our deficit.

We know who to blame and it is not the Coalition.

Categories
National politics

Miligram – a lightweight

Ed Miliband proved himself a lightweight this afternoon.

Back in May the new Coalition published its coalition agreement. After a 70 odd word preamble the first issue it pointed to was deficit reduction, see here. It said:

The parties agree that deficit reduction and continuing to ensure economic recovery is the most urgent issue facing Britain.

Meanwhile, Ed Miliband, who has had the best part of five months rather than a matter of days to decide his priorities, spent 2,350 words of his leader’s speech this afternoon rambling around his personal history and recent Labour failures before he got to the biggest issue facing our country, the deficit.

He mentioned the word generation 41 times and used the phrase “new generation” 15 times. Miliband wants to have his cake and eat it. On the one hand he refers back to his parents’ wartime experiences which makes him a rather late baby boomer. Then he talks repeatedly about being the new generation. Unless I am missing something the boomers have been running the country since John Major was prime minister. Ho hum.

Categories
National politics

IMF confounds deficit deniers

Today the old chancellor, Alistair Darling, has been trying to hold the Labour line on the deficit – his proposal was that the governmnet should aim to halve it over four years. Deficit deniers such as Ed Balls, who thinks we should keep adding to our bills at the current rate of £150 billion a year for another couple of years, and Ken Livingstone, who is totally wedded to the evil Tory cuts fantasy story, keep trying to pull Labour in the other direction. History will record that Darling was a man of honour.

Today the IMF says:

Economic recovery is underway, unemployment has stabilized, and financial sector health has improved. The government’s strong and credible multi-year fiscal deficit reduction plan is essential to ensure debt sustainability. The plan greatly reduces the risk of a costly loss of confidence in public finances and supports a balanced recovery. Fiscal tightening will dampen short-term growth but not stop it as other sectors of the economy emerge as drivers of recovery, supported by continued monetary stimulus.

The new Labour party line of the deficit will be a key test for Ed Miliband.

Categories
Ealing and Northfield National politics

One man, four votes

There is a stunning graphic in the Sunday Times today showing how close the Labour leadership really was.

David was ahead in the first round 34.3% to 37.8%. The gap was 3.5%. When Abbott dropped out David was stayed ahead 38.9% to 37.5%. The gap was down to 1.4%. Although Abbott only picked up 7.4% of the overall vote a big majority of her supporters must have marked Ed second to make this size of change.

When Burnham dropped out David was ahead 42.7% to 41.3% – the gap held at 1.4% so we know that Burnhamittes were evenly divided between the Milibands.

When Balls dropped out David lost his lead 49.35% to 50.65%. The David lead goes from 1.4% to a lag of 1.3%, or 2.7% in total. So the Ballsittes were into Ed but not as much as the Abbottittes.

It was all very close and all three of the minor candidates had to drop out to get a winner. But, in the Labour leadership contest not all are equal. In the Conservative and LibDem parties it is one member, one vote. With Labour the rule is one ordinary member, one vote but one Leftie activist, many votes.


Take Labour Acton councillor Mik Sabiers.
He tweeted some days back:

Is casting his votes for the Labour leadership election – Ed Miliband is my first choice

Note votes, not vote. As I have noted before Sabiers claims membership of three unions plus the Labour party. His register of member’s interests entry lists him as being a member of three unions: Unite, GMB and NUJ.

Categories
National politics

Socialist Campaign Group backs Ed

The voting results for Labour MPs and MEPs are all here. I am not sure how anyone in the Labour party thinks there is any benefit in publishing these. They are quite fascinating though for a political nerd like me.

The real hard nuts just ranked their favoured candidate first and did not vote for anyone else.

Diane Abbott voted for herself and no-one else. Excruciatingly she only got 7 first preferences including herself. All of these came from members of the hard left Socialist Campaign Group of MPs.

The only person to give her his one and only first preference vote was fellow left-winger John McDonnell. Two other hideous lefties, Jeremy Corbyn and Linda Riordan, voted Abbott first and Ed Miliband second.

Left wingers always fight like cats and dogs. Although half of the 14 strong Socialist Campaign Group ranked Abbott first, 4 gave her no ranking at all. One marked her 5th, one 4th and one 2nd.

As a result Ed Miliband actually picked up more points from the Socialist Campaign Group than Abbott. If you weight 1st place with 5 points, 2nd place with 4 points, etc. You get Abbott with 42 out of a possible 70 points from the Socialist Campaign Group against Ed Miliband’s 48 points. Ed really is the lefty’s fave. He got five first votes, five second votes and one third vote.

Categories
National politics

Sharma the sheep

Virendra SharmaEaling Southall MP, Virendra Sharma, is never going to be a leader of men. His voting in the Labour leadership election show him to be one of life’s sheep. Baa.

1 David Miliband
2 Ed Miliband
3 Ed Balls
4 Andy Burnham
5 Diane Abbott

Categories
National politics

Pound gets it right

Ealing North MP, Stephen Pound called the Labour leadership election right in as much as he voted for Ed Miliband. Clearly he does not like Diane Abbott. He couldn’t even bring himself to rank her 5th. See full details here.

1 Ed Miliband
2 Andy Burnham
3 David Miliband
4 Ed Balls

Categories
Ex-Mayor Livingstone

Back to the future

The Labour party has today announced that Ken Livingstone will be their candidate to fight Boris Johnson in 2012. He beat Oona King 69% to 31% so the result is pretty emphatic. Labour reaches for the comfort blanket. In his statement Livingstone said:

We need a Mayor who will stand up for London.

The choice between me and Boris Johnson could not be clearer. I will protect the fare payer. After Boris Johnson’s unnecessary fare increases that go hand in hand with cuts to investment we need fairer fares. I promise that fares under my administration will be lower than if Boris Johnson is re-elected.

Today’s decision by London Labour members signals the start of a campaign to change London for the better and to protect Londoners from the cuts of this government that threaten to wreck lives and push us back into recession. I will unite Londoners around this message. The London election in 2012 will be the chance to send a message to David Cameron and George Osborne that we don’t want devastating cuts to our public services, fewer jobs, and declining living standards. If you want them out, first vote Boris out.

Two key points from Ken then. A return to “Fares Fair” which got him elected in 1981. Or rather it didn’t. It got Andrew McIntosh elected as the GLC leader. He was then promptly deposed by Livingstone and his left-wing stooges. Livingstone became Labour group leader in an internal election and thus GLC leader. The rest was history. The other part of his pitch is a deficit denying “cuts” line. Good luck with that Ken. I think that Londoners will see straight through you. We know who to blame already – Gordon Brown.

I can’t believe that Labour have been this silly. Hopefully they will be equally silly tomorrow and make Ed leader. Fingers crossed.

Categories
National politics

The government put £545 on your credit card last month

What most threatens the vulnerable? I’ll tell you. Ill-timed and excessive reductions in public expenditure and investments.

It will be a retrograde step if George Osborne is allowed to run rampant like the reaper of death through benefits and services that ordinary people rely on.

I do not accept that cuts are fair. They are a contradiction in terms.

The BBC’s flagship news bulletin last night had lots of time for LibDem weirdie beardies wringing their hands about the cuts but totally failed to mention the key piece of economic news – the fact that our public sector net borrowing last month was £15.9 billion, see figures here.

To put this in perspective there are 29,160,000 workers in the UK, see figures here. This means that the UK government put £545 on your credit card last month. In the last financial year the deficit was £155 billion – that is £5,316 on your personal credit card. It will be about the same again in the current year, with no changes to your current credit score obviously (find details at https://aaacreditguide.com/ultimate-guide-to-credit-repair/). Even if the dreaded cuts are implemented the interest on this fast accumulating debt is set to rise to nearly £70bn by 2015-16 or £2,400 per annum to be paid by you. Apparently this is not newsworthy.

Categories
National politics

BBC bashing the bankers

Always campaigning against obscene profits and obscene bonuses whilst others struggle to make ends meet.

Simon Hughes, the LibDem deputy leader, had a go at the City yesterday at the LibDem conference which gave the BBC the opportunity to pitch in too.

The BBC News at Ten came up with this graphic and the totally spurious comparison of City bonuses with the total cost of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (£2 billion) as a part of a Robert Peston package. They failed to mention that City bonuses are shared amongst a workforce of over a million or 4.2% of the entire country’s workforce. Ooops.

They also fail to mention that the FCO employs 4,385 civil servants. So on average they cost £510,000 per head. A lot more expensive than your average financial services worker. Double ooops. See FCO figures here.