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Ealing and Northfield

Enterprise back tonight

Tonight the council’s hapless rubbish and recycling contractor, Enterprise, will be back in front of the Overview and Scrutiny Committee at 7.45pm at the Town Hall for a grilling on their somewhat less than elite performance over the last six months. The officers’ report for the meeting veers between being refreshingly honest, if understated:

This street cleansing after collection part of the contract has not been performed by Enterprise as well as is required in the first 6 months of the contract.

and weirdly confusing outputs (demonstrably worse) with inputs (aspirational):

It must be stressed however, that this represents performance against an enhanced specification

There are three key points to take away from the report that will be discussed tonight at the Overview and Scrutiny Committee:

Missed collections

There have been 5,000 missed collections a month on average for 6 months. A total of 31,201 missed collections in first six months of the contract compared to 6,422 the previous year. Missed collections have been running at five times the rate of the previous year for six months.

Re-cycling

For four months pretty much all of the borough’s dry recycling (86%) was mixed up and sent to Kent. This has disillusioned many of our recycling residents.

Street cleaning

On average, for four months, one third of the borough’s streets were unacceptably dirty. There are still more than twice as many dirty streets as last year.

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Ealing and Northfield

One vote, £1 million

£1 million is a lot of money for one vote but that was the value of one vote on the planning committee last Wednesday.

On Wednesday the Conservative members of the planning committee walked out of the meeting when discussion of a planning application in East Acton ward came up. It is a block of flats adjacent to North Acton tube station that carries with it a £1 million worth of Section 106 funds, also known as “planning gain”. It seems that the Ealing Labour group is so keen to get its hands on this money it is prepared to subvert the planning process and ignore its own manifesto.

In August planning application P/2011/4250 for a housing and commercial development of 18 storeys was refused on the following grounds:

1. Overdevelopment by reason of lack of amenity space.
2. Low proportion of affordable housing.

Apart from a few balconies and a rooftop play area there was no amenity space (gardens, playgrounds, balconies, etc). The proportion of social housing proposed made a mockery of Labour’s manifesto pledges to “build 3,000 affordable homes “ and “reinstate the requirement for 50% affordable homes in all private developments”. The developer was offering to provide 20 affordable homes out of 151, a measly 13.2%.

This decision was not made lightly. There was an hour long debate about the merits of this proposal in which detailed questions were asked of officers.

The vote in August was telling. The Conservatives and one LibDem opposition councillors voted against the application along with the only ward councillor from the affected ward, East Acton’s Cllr Kate Crawford. The rest of the Labour group voted for, ignoring their own aspirations for more affordable housing in favour of Labour’s North Acton vanity project (of which more later).

On Wednesday this same application came back to the planning committee. Normally when an application is refused the developer will either appeal or come back with a substantially modified proposal. In this case the Labour chairman of the planning committee, Cllr Ray Wall, and the planning officers allowed this application to boomerang back to the committee after three months using the pretext that on the 6th September 2012, there was a government ministerial statement from Eric Pickles (Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government).

The only concession that had been made as a result of the previous refusal was to increase the amenity space by 380m2, by giving 19 flats larger balconies and providing another play area on the top of a ten storey building.

No attempt had been made to get anywhere nearer to Labour’s manifesto commitment of 50% affordable. It seems that Labour would rather take the cash.

They are particularly keen to get hold of contributions to Cllr Bell’s North Acton piazza, a concrete square that replaces a well used petrol station. This developer was offering £692K towards this particular project. This sum had been promised up front, to “be paid prior to the commencement of any part of the development“. The only thing better than free money is free money right now!

Anyway the Conservative councillors could see what was coming and didn’t want any part of it. They walked out and the lonely LibDem member of the committee was the only one to vote against the massed ranks of Labour councillors ignoring their own manifesto. As for Cllr Crawford she has seemingly been mollified with a 2.5m2 per flat increase in amenity space. As the developer has not offered any increase in affordable homes it seems too that she is happy to wave goodbye to Labour’s affordable housing promises.

The council hasn’t consulted anyone about its piazza or made any public decisions. It is ignoring its own manifesto promise to increase affordable housing and pressing ahead with delivering the piazza in spite of objections from residents.

Labour has got its way, and collected £1 million, thanks to Kate Crawford’s one vote.

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Ealing and Northfield Onkar Sahota

Sahota doesn’t understand youth unemployment – or he is lying

The Gazette on Friday let Ealing and Hillingdon GLA member Onkar Sahota get away with a staggeringly innumerate letter. I don’t know if Sahota is ineptly rehashing Labour party spin or whether he is personally trying to deceive you.

In his letter Sahota mixes two misunderstood factoids with 200 words of polemic. The letter is about youth unemployment. Most of it can be ignored. It doesn’t follow from the factoids offered even if they were accurate or useful, which they are not.

His first factoid is:

… in Ealing there has been a 7.7 per cent increase in the number of 18 to 24-years-olds claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance for more than a year.

It sounds awful. It is true, but it is not honest. He might have told us it went up 11.4% the previous month. He might have told us that this number has shot up 8.4 times since the election. He might have explained what is going on.

This is claimant count (not unemployment) data from an ONS database called NOMIS. Click on the link: Aged 18-24 (> 12 months) – monthly from 2006. I have ringed Sahota’s 7.7% increase. This number has jiggled around between 10 and 50 from January 2006 and January 2012 and then quadrupled in the last 8 months. Long term youth unemployment up 4 times? Something has changed in the data, its processing, the benefits system or the underlying habits of this group. It has nothing to do with the economy. In fact the same quadrupling effect has been seen in Wales. What is going on?

The answer lies in the fact that the Coalition has reformed the previous government’s New Deal programme which pulled people off JSA after 10 months and gave them a training allowance instead (at which point they artificially dropped off the claimant count). If they failed to get work and re-applied for JSA they were treated as new claimants. Tory hero Iain Duncan Smith has ended this dishonest merry-go-round. Now you just stay on JSA whilst you train and if you get into work successfully you drop off naturally. If not you stay on and your long period of unemployment is honestly portrayed in the data.

You can read more in this House of Commons Committee paper, scroll down to para 25. Indeed the DWP says:

If the number receiving a training allowance or supported by the Future Jobs Fund are included alongside those on JSA, overall there has been little change [in the number of long-term 18-24 year-old JSA claims] between May 2010 and March 2012. The total nevertheless remains significantly higher than before the recession.

Essentially Sahota is trying to turn a quirk of the benefits system into a youth unemployment story. Maybe he just doesn’t know what he is talking about or is he actively lying?

Sahota’s second factoid is:

In Ealing there were 1,805 people of all ages looking for work last month, compared to 1,780 in May 2010.

First off he is wrong about it being all ages. It is just the 18-24 youth segment again but all durations of unemployment, see here and click on this link: Aged 18-24 (total) – monthly from 2006. He is being casual describing this as people “looking for work”, it is claimant count data again. Given the economic conditions inherited by the coalition only increasing the youth claimant count by 25 (1.4%) looks like standstill to me on the face of it. If you correct for the reform of the New Deal (take 160 out) which Sahota has unwittingly highlighted you could argue that youth unemployment in Ealing has dropped by 135 (7.6%) since the election. No great harm to young people in Ealing since the election then.

The big lie is quite obvious once you look at this data in the large. Youth unemployment in Ealing more than doubled under the last Labour government. It stood at 1,055 in January 2008 and shot up to 2,450 in September 2009. Every blip afterwards is a mere aftershock.

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Ealing and Northfield

Labour’s road spending games

I asked a question (52) about road resurfacing at the last council. The council officers declined to do the analysis I asked for but at least they published the base data. I have done the analysis myself. You can download my workings if you want to check – I deal in numbers and I am happy for you to check what I have done.

This year and last year were the first two years where the current Labour administration was responsible for setting the priorities for capital spending. Essentially Labour has halved road spending. They allocated £2,922,525 in 2011/12 and £3,610,000 in the current 2012/13 financial year.

Labour have learnt their lesson and haven’t quite gone back to the bad old days. For ten years they spent about £1 million a year on our roads and pavements. In 1999/2000 they spent absolutely nothing. When we were elected in 2006 there was a frightening backlog. We immediately added £500K to the current year’s spend in 2006/7 and we spent another £25 million in 4 years. If the council can’t keep up the roads it is hard to know what it is for. Since Labour got back into power it has halved road spending again. Not quite the bad old days, unless you live in an opposition ward.

If you look at how spending has broken down by ward over the last two years you get the picture below.

One ward, Ealing Common, has had no roads or pavements resurfaced in two years. Acton Central, Greenford Green, Hanger Hill, North Greenford, Northfields, South Acton and Southfield have had just one road or pavement done. Cleveland and East Acton have had just two. At the other end of the spectrum the Labour held Northolt West End ward has had £1.2 million spent on it doing 17 roads and pavements. This is Labour roads boss, Cllr Bassam Mahfouz’s own ward. Funny that.

The average spend per ward has been £284K these last two years. Southall Broadway got just over the average. All the ward above the average are essentially Labour wards (one out of three councillors in Northolt Mandeville is a Conservative).

It is quite clear that in the last two years expenditure has been focussed in Labour’s core areas. In 2011/12 50% of expenditure went to the 5 wards of Southall (they might expect to get 22% on average). In 2012/13 49% of expenditure went to the 2 wards of Northolt (they might expect to get 9% on average).

What will Labour do next year? Half the money spent in Acton? In two years Acton has got just 3% of the roads cash to do 4 roads and pavements across three wards in two years. It might expect to have got 13% if it matched its share of the wards. Let’s see.

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Ealing and Northfield

Labour’s priorities: Union money up 5.2% under Labour

The council makes a big thing about the £85 million savings it is making. At the centre of this is a £56 million cut in the council’s grant which is the equivalent of something like 28% of its grants. At the last council meeting I asked some questions about union facility time. See questions 11, 12 and 13.

Overall union facility time has risen by 5.2% in Labour’s first two years in power. That is right up 5.2%. The council spends £264,800 to employ 5.1 people on union business.

It is quite striking that the non-teaching portion of this cash handout to the unions has been frozen for the last two years. The teacher portion of this has shot up 8.9%. Apparently the teacher shop stewards are twice as expensive as the council’s other shop stewards. The teaching shop stewards cost £76K per annum each on average. The others cost £35K each on average. Apparently Socialist Worker extremists such as Nick Grant and Stefan Simms, secretary and assistant secretary of Ealing’s NUT branch, are worth £76K a year each to Ealing residents even when they work for the NUT organising strikes rather than teaching.

The most egregious part of this is that the council has given Nick Grant, the NUT’s branch secretary for Ealing, an extra day a week to undertake his duties as a national executive member. Repeat. This extra cash does nothing for Ealing. It is a gift from you, the Ealing council tax payer, to the NUT union. It is worth about £10,000 per annum. When I asked what is the value of this to Ealing council tax payers the answer was:

The arrangement permits some insights and information about the NUT’s approach nationally to various issues such as wage bargaining.

Do you believe this? Is this how you want your money spending?

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Ealing and Northfield

Street cleaning and collections still broken after six months

At the last council meeting I asked my usual questions about the rubbish and re-cycling service – the council still refuses to give me this data unbidden. The council still will not divulge the key performance indicator outcomes and are citing commercial confidentiality and refusing point blank to divulge whether Enterprise has incurred any penalty payments since the three month grace period written into the contract expired at the end of June. See answers to questions published late on Thursday.

Streets still twice as dirty for second month running

The worst part of the Ealing Rubbish Fiasco has been the street cleaning. It seems to be the slowest part to get fixed. For three months the council badly failed to clean the streets. For three months a third or more of all of the entire Borough’s roads were unacceptably dirty. In month four a quarter of streets were unacceptably dirty after the council went back to the old system of allowing the contractor to clean up failed streets. After six months one street in eight is still unacceptably dirty for the second month running and we still have twice as many dirty streets as last year. It seems that the idea of cleaning streets the same day is very hard to make work.

Missed collections – still broken

We have now got to 30,000 missed collections over the first six months of the new contract. In September they were still running 4 times ahead of where they where the previous year and overall they are up 5 times on the previous half year.

Dry re-cycling to Kent

The council went backwards here slightly sending 19% of dry recycling to Kent in September. In the first four months of the contract on average 87% of all dry re-cycling was mixed up and effectively kerbside re-cycling stopped. Things have got much better in the last two months but are still not where they should be at. When the system is fully working there should be a small amount of dry recycling from flats going to Kent, that is all.

The council has spent six months telling us that things weren’t that bad. They were. We still have way too many dirty streets and missed collections.

If you are looking for a commercial cleaning service in Toronto, check out www.a2zee.ca/toronto/.

Reference: https://www.maideasy.com.au/house-cleaning/.

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Ealing and Northfield National politics

Ten Sharma Lies: Confuses total borrowing with the deficit

Ealing Southall MP Virendra Sharma used his latest piece in the Gazette to talk economic nonsense that I suspect he probably doesn’t even understand himself. No doubt the piece was written by council leader Julian Bell who acts as his researcher whilst drawing a full-time allowance from the council and refusing to answer questions about his other job. Sharma said:

Borrowing – which this Government said was its number 1 priority – is going up, not down.

Of course borrowing is going up. The borrowing supertanker was set on its course much earlier this century by Captain Gordon Brown. Now it is extremely hard to change course. Before the financial crisis hit in 2008 the Labour government was already spending 5.2% of GDP or £73 billion per annum more than its income (not accounting for variations of the economic cycle) – they call this the structural deficit. The deficit reached £150 billion when the Coalition came into power. Labour chancellor Alistair Darling had made plans to halve the deficit by the end of the next Parliament (and not reduce borrowing) in his November Pre-Budget Statement. In order to do this he halved capital spending.

When they came into power the Coalition set out in the Coalition Agreement to eliminate the deficit by the end of the Parliament. This would not reduce borrowing either merely add to it more slowly. This has proved harder going than envisaged two years ago but all the same the deficit is about three quarters of what it was under Labour.

The deficit has been cut but borrowing hasn’t. It never was going to be cut by either party in this Parliament. It was going to go up under either government. Sharma really doesn’t understand what he is saying.

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Ealing and Northfield National politics

Ten Sharma Lies: Ignores Labour’s youth unemployment disaster

I am having a go at Ealing Southall MP Virendra Sharma for spewing out mendacious Labour party sound bites that I suspect he probably doesn’t even understand himself. In his latest piece in the Gazette he says:

The contrast with David Cameron could not be greater. He has led us into a double-dip recession, with 1 million young people out of work.

I dealt with Shamra Lie Number 1 yesterday about Gordon Brown’s recession. Today I will deal with Sharma Lie Number 2 on youth unemployment.

As this picture from a recent House of Commons Library paper shows youth unemployment fell by 62,000 during the last quarter. Regetably it rose under Labour for most of this century and rose very steeply by about 200,000 after the financial crash which we were ill prepared for as we entered it with a pre-existing structural deficit of 5.2% of GDP. Youth unemployment has been jiggling about a bit since then: a bit flat, down a bit, up a bit, a bit flat and finally down a bit. Under Labour we pretty much doubled youth unemployment between 2000 and 2010.

Youth unemployment statistics are a strange beast. If you take the people who claim to be searching for work who are actually in full-time education right now out of the statistics youth unemployment drops to 658,000. Yes! I know!

Getting back to Sharma, he must take people for fools if he thinks that he can gloss over Labour’s appalling youth unemployment disaster during the first 8 years of this century.

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Ealing and Northfield National politics

Ten Sharma Lies: Blames Cameron for Brown’s recession

Ealing Southall MP Virendra Sharma is a ridiculous man. He is totally ignorant of economics and thinks that if he spews out Labour party soundbites people will believe him. Maybe he is right. Maybe if he lies big enough, often enough he will manage to deceive people. His latest piece in the Gazette contains so much nonsense I thought that it was worth pulling out Ten Sharma Lies.

Today I am looking at Sharma Lie Number 1. He says in his Gazette piece of David Cameron “He has led us into a double-dip recession”. Sharma is a fantasist. Our economy was comprehensively undermined by the Blair/Brown government which took us into terrible economic times with a structural deficit of over 5%. In other words even before the banking crisis hit, our state spent £73 billion more than it took in tax receipts and this amount wasn’t the passing effect of hard times it was an underlying structural overspend. That is more than £1,000 per head of population per year. More than £2,000 per head per taxpayer per year.

As a result when the crisis hit in 2008 and our economy lost 7% of GDP from Q2 2008 to Q1 2009 there was little room for manoeuvre. This was the first dip. It happened under a 13 year Labour government and was entirely the fault of the Labour government. The second dip happened Q4 2011 to Q1 2012 and cost us about 0.5% of GDP. It was less than ten times as severe as Labour’s dip and will be seen historically as an aftershock, nothing more.

So a more accurate quote from Sharma would be: “David Cameron was in power when the UK suffered a minor aftershock from Gordon Brown’s 7% bust”.

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Parking Services

Watch out on Greenford Road

I have been highlighting how out of step the Otter Road yellow box junction is on Greenford Road but further digging around shows that it is not just this junction but the whole of Greenford Road which is a bit of a hazard to motorists, at least to their pockets. In August 15% of all parking tickets in the Borough were given out on Greenford Road.

Detailed analysis of the statistics shows that in a typical month about 2,000 parking tickets (Penalty Charge Notices (PCNs)) are issued on Greenford Road out of roughly 16,000 per month issued across the Borough. The annual value of these tickets is £1.5 million. 98% of these tickets are issued automatically by CCTV, according to Stephen Babcock, distracted driving attorney. Most of the tickets are given out for stopping on the Greenford Road/Otter Road yellow box junction, driving in the bus lanes and stopping on loading bays and the taxi rank. The Greenford Road/Otter Road yellow box junction on its own is worth at least £500K a year to the Council.

It is important that drivers follow the Highway Code and that residents consider their neighbours when parking. That said, it does look like Ealing Council is too reliant on giving out parking tickets on Greenford Road. More work needs to be done to improve signing and to help people avoid tickets. The Council’s objective should be compliance not income.