Categories
Ealing and Northfield National politics

How will Ealing’s three Labour MPs vote today?

Today will see a debate and vote on a motion on extending airstrikes to Syria against ISIL. How will Ealing’s three Labour MPs vote today? I went looking for clues online.

Rupa Huq, Ealing Central and Acton has a website but it is out of date and very thinly populated. There is one piece from 15th November asnd then the next piece is dated 21st July. Although it has a picture of her with someone else’s bicycle it makes no reference to Syria.

On facebook and Twitter Huq reports that she has come out against. The fact that Huq has “pinned” this tweet so that it stays at the top of her page indicates that she wants people to know where she stands.

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Been on BBC News 24 to voice my opposition to the UK bombing Syria – caption slightly unfortunate though!

Posted by Dr Rupa Huq for Ealing Central and Acton on Saturday, November 28, 2015

At least Huq is being clear. She is, ultimately, an intellectual, and I am sure she can find lots of reasons for doing nothing and back them up with high minded arguments. Thankfully intellectuals do not rule us, otherwise we would be slaves.

Sharma on Daesh

Apart from showing how right on he is by using the Arabic version of ISIL Virendra Sharma has not said anything beyond that Paris was bad. Otherwise he is silent. Nothing appears online to give you any clue as to what he thinks. As he is usually a Labour loyalist I guess he will follow Corbyn’s line although he might be confused currently as to what a Labour loyalist should do. We won’t get anything but banalities from Sharma if he does make any kind of statement.

Stephen Pound is equally inscrutable as Sharma on this subject. The guy is totally capable of sounding off but he too often uses his great skills for comic effect only. His website says nothing about Syria and he doesn’t do the social media stuff. Pound probably hasn’t got much to lose if he does vote against Corbyn’s line – let’s see if he has it in him. Otherwise we will have three Noes I suspect.

Categories
National politics

The housing crisis crept up on us under Labour but don’t expect it to own up

Today both the leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, and my MP Rupa Huq have been talking about housing affordability. Corbyn called in aid an email from a “Matthew” at PMQs at lunchtime. Huq, who remains unembarrassed about nominating Corbyn, has been talking to the Gazette.

Both gloss over Labour’s appalling record on housing. Housing affordability halved under Labour in the period 1998 to 2007 and has stayed about the same since according to the published stats (DCLG Live Table 577). They have probably got a little worse since and then got better more recently.

Ratio median house prices to median earnings

One of the drivers for this was Labour’s awful record on social housing. As I have pointed out many times before the worst ten years in our country since the Second World War for social housebuilding were 1998 to 2007. It is no coincidence.

Social housing completions 19-2-2015

Categories
National politics

The Ealing jobs miracle – unemployment falls below 5,000 – half what it was

Unemployment in the London Borough of Ealing, as measured by the claimant count, has fallen below 5,000 for the first time since June 2008.

NOMIS All October 2015

Ealing’s unemployment peaked at 9,580 in September 2009 as the post credit crunch recession worked its way through the economy. Since then unemployment overall in Ealing has halved and fell below 5,000 to 4,910 in September. This is the first time Ealing’s claimant count has been below 5,000 since June 2008 when it was 4,950.

If you want to see where the data comes from all you have to do is go to the ONS’s nomis database.

Expect to hear much rejoicing from our three local Labour MPs and the Labour council leader. Or not maybe.

Categories
National politics

Human rights industry touting for business

The left wing press is bigging up another of those round robin letters this morning.

Somehow the BBC seems to be unembarrassed and unapologetic about running in this company.

If you do go to the original material and look at the list of signatories it all becomes clear. All the usual lefty suspects such as Geoffrey Bindman, Helena Kennedy and Michael Mansfield are there. Indeed 9 officers of the Haldane Society of Socialist Lawyers are there.

Usual suspects

If you are in any doubt about what is going on here then the signatures of 52 lawyers from Doughty Chambers should convince you. They say:

Doughty Street Chambers is probably the largest and most wide-ranging civil liberties legal practice in the world.

There are 43 signatures from Matrix Chambers with their “progressive outlook”. The Blackstone Chambers provides 32 signatories.

Even a cursory look at the list tells you that this letter is about the human rights barrister industry touting for business.

Categories
National politics

Labour’s Jon Ashworth keeping up the fibs on housing

In response to David Cameron’s speech this morning the Labour Party bashed out this press release allegedly penned by Jonathan Ashworth MP, Shadow Minister without Portfolio. Without scruple more like.

I know the housing numbers so his housing claim leaps out as being disingenuous. Well plain mendacious really.

He says:

You can’t claim to care about the housing crisis when you’ve overseen the lowest level of housebuilding in peacetime since the 1920s.

How did that happen? There was a little thing called the credit crunch.

If you want to know what happened to house building in our country in recent years go and look at the DCLG Live tables on house building, in particular Table 212 House building: permanent dwellings started and completed, by tenure, Great Britain (quarterly).

Permanent dwellings started per quarter from Table 212

If you go and dig in the data the low point for housing starts in this country was Q4 2008 when only 20,660 homes were started. The record of the Coalition in the period Q3 2010 to Q4 2014 (latest data) is an average of 34,104 starts per quarter 65% higher than the Labour low point.

Ashworth knows he is talking rubbish. He is hoping that no-one notices.

Categories
National politics

No perspective on homelessness

I saw this from Radio 4 World at One’s Martha Kearney today:

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Of course voices on the left were jumping all over it pretty quickly:

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Another one of those terrible Tories stories. Kearney said “New figures” but it did sound a bit familiar though. A quick Google search threw up:

The driver for this coverage is these statistics published today.

Temporary accommodationThis chart from the report shows that we have been here before. Homelessness, in terms of households in temporary accommodation was worse than it is now from Q2 2000 to Q4 2009 inclusive. So Labour’s record was very poor. Homelessness was worse in relatively good times than it is now. It is increasing but it would be nice if the BBC could give us some perspective on the driver of these changes.

Categories
National politics

London Labour MPs not going for Burnham

According to the latest list of Labour MPs endorsing possible leaders of the Labour party published by the New Statesman no London Labour MP has yet endorsed Andy Burnham. Indeed the Daily Mail points out that “Labour leadership favourite Andy Burnham has failed to secure support of a single MP south of Stoke”.

In London 16 out of 45 Labour MPs have come out for a candidate. 2 for rank outsider Mary Creagh, 6 for moderniser Liz Kendall and 8 for Brownite safe pair of hands Yvette Cooper.

West London MPs seems to be going for Cooper in a big way with Ruth Cadbury, Virendra Sharma, Stephen Pound and Andy Slaughter all coming out for her. No sign of the preferences of Ealing newbie Rupa Huq. Will she be the first London MP to back Burnham and his union approved campaign?

Categories
Health, housing and adult social services National politics

The NHS is going to the dogs, again – or maybe not

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Local Labour types were keen to jump on the dumb reporting of the latest numbers coming out of the NHS on cancelled elective operations. Cancelled operations are always unwelcome but the NHS cancels a tiny fraction of its operations.

The headline in the Guardian was “Hospitals cancelling largest number of operations for 10 years”. Even the Telegraph had “Surge in cancelled NHS operations”.

I wondered what the long term picture was. The NHS keep stats going back to 1996/7. The Q4 figures (January to March) are always worst because it is the worst bit of winter and the time in the financial year when all the money is running out.

Q4 cancelled elective operations

This chart give the Q4 numbers for the last 19 years. Yes, cancellations are the worst for 10 years at around 20K. But, they were around 20K in 8 out of 13 Labour years. The worst year in this series was 2000/01 when it almost hit 25,000.

The average Q4 figure in 13 years under Labour was just under 19,000. The average figure for the five Coalition years was fractionally more than 18,000. We are doing more operations under a harsher financial climate but actually cancelling fewer operations.

Call me cynical but what really stunned me about this chart was how there is peak followed by a fall every election year (ringed in yellow). Surely the NHS bureaucracy doesn’t contrive a mini NHS crisis every winter before an election does it?

Categories
Ealing and Northfield National politics

Labour sloganeering on corporate tax avoidance – the Coalition has acted already

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

The Ealing Labour party seems to be pleased with its candidate’s stance on corporate tax avoidance. This rings a little hollow after 13 years of inactivity by three Blair/Brown governments. In the last budget Chancellor George Osborne introduced a well thought out Diverted Profits Tax, or as the papers dubbed it a “Google tax”. Maybe that is why Rupa Huq didn’t mention Google in her short list of avoiders.

Even the Guardian had to admit:

Few, however, deny his diverted profits tax (DPT) amounts to a pioneering and innovative effort to tackle big multinationals with aggressive corporate structures. The DPT, announced in December, will levy a 25% tax on profits that have been artificially moved outside the UK.

The Diverted Profits Tax should ensure that Vivienne Westwood has less cash to bung at the Greens at the next election.

Too often the Labour party poses and sloganises. This is just one of many areas where the Coalition has acted after Labour’s 13 lazy years in charge.

Categories
Ealing and Northfield National politics

When Rupa Huq says “this time” she gives the game away

With two words tonight Rupa Huq repudiated 13 years of New Labour and her benefactor Tony Blair. 35 seconds into her summing up at tonight’s CCA Hustings at Acton Town Hall Rupa Huq said:

We do have a progressive programme this time.

What she means is that Labour has put New Labour behind it and will be substantially different if it gains power in eight days’ time. Pulled even further to the left by the SNP we are in for a grim time indeed if Milibandite Old Labour forms the next government.

By the way, don’t be fooled by the loud clapping at the end. It was dominated by six people around me who had the loud handclap technique down pat.