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Ealing and Northfield National politics

Ten Sharma Lies: Confuses total borrowing with the deficit

Ealing Southall MP Virendra Sharma used his latest piece in the Gazette to talk economic nonsense that I suspect he probably doesn’t even understand himself. No doubt the piece was written by council leader Julian Bell who acts as his researcher whilst drawing a full-time allowance from the council and refusing to answer questions about his other job. Sharma said:

Borrowing – which this Government said was its number 1 priority – is going up, not down.

Of course borrowing is going up. The borrowing supertanker was set on its course much earlier this century by Captain Gordon Brown. Now it is extremely hard to change course. Before the financial crisis hit in 2008 the Labour government was already spending 5.2% of GDP or £73 billion per annum more than its income (not accounting for variations of the economic cycle) – they call this the structural deficit. The deficit reached £150 billion when the Coalition came into power. Labour chancellor Alistair Darling had made plans to halve the deficit by the end of the next Parliament (and not reduce borrowing) in his November Pre-Budget Statement. In order to do this he halved capital spending.

When they came into power the Coalition set out in the Coalition Agreement to eliminate the deficit by the end of the Parliament. This would not reduce borrowing either merely add to it more slowly. This has proved harder going than envisaged two years ago but all the same the deficit is about three quarters of what it was under Labour.

The deficit has been cut but borrowing hasn’t. It never was going to be cut by either party in this Parliament. It was going to go up under either government. Sharma really doesn’t understand what he is saying.

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Ealing and Northfield National politics

Ten Sharma Lies: Ignores Labour’s youth unemployment disaster

I am having a go at Ealing Southall MP Virendra Sharma for spewing out mendacious Labour party sound bites that I suspect he probably doesn’t even understand himself. In his latest piece in the Gazette he says:

The contrast with David Cameron could not be greater. He has led us into a double-dip recession, with 1 million young people out of work.

I dealt with Shamra Lie Number 1 yesterday about Gordon Brown’s recession. Today I will deal with Sharma Lie Number 2 on youth unemployment.

As this picture from a recent House of Commons Library paper shows youth unemployment fell by 62,000 during the last quarter. Regetably it rose under Labour for most of this century and rose very steeply by about 200,000 after the financial crash which we were ill prepared for as we entered it with a pre-existing structural deficit of 5.2% of GDP. Youth unemployment has been jiggling about a bit since then: a bit flat, down a bit, up a bit, a bit flat and finally down a bit. Under Labour we pretty much doubled youth unemployment between 2000 and 2010.

Youth unemployment statistics are a strange beast. If you take the people who claim to be searching for work who are actually in full-time education right now out of the statistics youth unemployment drops to 658,000. Yes! I know!

Getting back to Sharma, he must take people for fools if he thinks that he can gloss over Labour’s appalling youth unemployment disaster during the first 8 years of this century.

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Ealing and Northfield National politics

Ten Sharma Lies: Blames Cameron for Brown’s recession

Ealing Southall MP Virendra Sharma is a ridiculous man. He is totally ignorant of economics and thinks that if he spews out Labour party soundbites people will believe him. Maybe he is right. Maybe if he lies big enough, often enough he will manage to deceive people. His latest piece in the Gazette contains so much nonsense I thought that it was worth pulling out Ten Sharma Lies.

Today I am looking at Sharma Lie Number 1. He says in his Gazette piece of David Cameron “He has led us into a double-dip recession”. Sharma is a fantasist. Our economy was comprehensively undermined by the Blair/Brown government which took us into terrible economic times with a structural deficit of over 5%. In other words even before the banking crisis hit, our state spent £73 billion more than it took in tax receipts and this amount wasn’t the passing effect of hard times it was an underlying structural overspend. That is more than £1,000 per head of population per year. More than £2,000 per head per taxpayer per year.

As a result when the crisis hit in 2008 and our economy lost 7% of GDP from Q2 2008 to Q1 2009 there was little room for manoeuvre. This was the first dip. It happened under a 13 year Labour government and was entirely the fault of the Labour government. The second dip happened Q4 2011 to Q1 2012 and cost us about 0.5% of GDP. It was less than ten times as severe as Labour’s dip and will be seen historically as an aftershock, nothing more.

So a more accurate quote from Sharma would be: “David Cameron was in power when the UK suffered a minor aftershock from Gordon Brown’s 7% bust”.

Categories
Parking Services

Watch out on Greenford Road

I have been highlighting how out of step the Otter Road yellow box junction is on Greenford Road but further digging around shows that it is not just this junction but the whole of Greenford Road which is a bit of a hazard to motorists, at least to their pockets. In August 15% of all parking tickets in the Borough were given out on Greenford Road.

Detailed analysis of the statistics shows that in a typical month about 2,000 parking tickets (Penalty Charge Notices (PCNs)) are issued on Greenford Road out of roughly 16,000 per month issued across the Borough. The annual value of these tickets is £1.5 million. 98% of these tickets are issued automatically by CCTV, according to Stephen Babcock, distracted driving attorney. Most of the tickets are given out for stopping on the Greenford Road/Otter Road yellow box junction, driving in the bus lanes and stopping on loading bays and the taxi rank. The Greenford Road/Otter Road yellow box junction on its own is worth at least £500K a year to the Council.

It is important that drivers follow the Highway Code and that residents consider their neighbours when parking. That said, it does look like Ealing Council is too reliant on giving out parking tickets on Greenford Road. More work needs to be done to improve signing and to help people avoid tickets. The Council’s objective should be compliance not income.

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Ealing and Northfield Mayor Johnson Onkar Sahota

Lazy bones – October

Last month our member of the London Assembly, Onkar Sahota, only managed to ask one written question out of 505 asked that month. This month he has upped his work rate a little and is asking 8 out of 485 questions.

His first is on a subject that is important to all of us but unfortunately one over which the London Mayor has no influence – the current NHS reconfigurations that are dropping out of Labour’s £20 billion Burnham Challenge programme.

He is also asking a slightly obscure question about the redevelopment of the Bow Street Court building:

Finally he asks six questions inspired by Ealing Transport for All:

Sahota is paid £53,439 a year to perform a specific function on behalf of the 600,000 population of the boroughs of Ealing and Hillingdon. That function is scrutiny. Questions, which have to be answered promptly, are the main mechanism by which assembly members can hold the mayor to account.

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Ealing and Northfield

Mahfouz at his worst

Labour’s Transport and Environment spokesman, Bassam Mahfouz, is a cheerful, pleasant chap but he does have a tendency to be political in a weird, denying-the-facts sort of a way.

In recent months the Heathrow 3rd runway issue has come back into play. At the start of September the government set up the Davies Review to look at airport capacity. Ealing and Acton MP, Angie Bray used her Gazette column last month to restate her opposition to a 3rd runway. Local Conservatives were also keen to underline their opposition to a 3rd runway in the light of the Davies Review so tabled the following simple motion at tonight’s council meeting.

No to Heathrow Expansion

This Council reaffirms its opposition to a third runway at Heathrow Airport and pledges to campaign vigorously against any proposals contrary to this position.

Nice and simple. Everyone can agree and work together. No. Cllr Mahfouz had different ideas. He put in a motion that read as follows:

No to Heathrow Expansion

This council notes that in their election manifesto in 2010 the Conservatives said: “Our goal is to make Heathrow airport better, not bigger. We will stop the third runway and instead link Heathrow directly to our high speed rail network, providing an alternative to thousands of flights. In addition, we will block plans for second runways at Stansted and Gatwick.”

The council notes that in their election manifesto in 2010 the Liberal Democrats said: “We will cancel plans for a third runway at Heathrow and other airport expansion in the South East”

The council notes that after the election of Ed Milliband as Labour leader Labour announced that they would not support expansion at Heathrow airport.

The council notes that a number of Conservative politicians have now backed calls for expansion at Heathrow.

The council is dismayed that the Chancellor George Osbourne has announced another U-turn for the Tory-led Government with decision to set up a review to examine expansion of airports in the South East.

The council is particularly disappointed that the Chancellor refused to rule out expansion at Heathrow.

Council resolves to renew its opposition to a third runway at Heathrow airport.

Council asks the portfolio holder for Transport and Environment to write to the relevant ministers and shadow ministers from all parties to demand the promises they have made to the electorate.

I think he meant “to demand that they keep the promises they have made to the Electorate” at the end there.

Ridiculously he quotes Tory and LibDem manifestos opposing the 3rd runway but omits to mention that the Labour manifesto supported it. He accuses George Osborne of U-turning when we know that Alistair Darling is in favour of a 3rd runway. This is complicated. Some senior national policiticans of both parties are in favour of getting on with the 3rd runway on macro-economic grounds. London Mayor Boris Johnson is not and neither typically are local MPs or councillors. Mahfouz just isn’t very honest or grown up is he?

This kind of thing really winds people up. Instead of just getting all the councillors to agree to something simple Mahfouz has tried to turn this into a petty fight.

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Ealing and Northfield

Clean Up Ealing: Six months and still not right

The Ealing Rubbish Fiasco has been going on for six months and we have still not seen a full resumption of the normal service. The council has been slow to divulge the data I am using here. The August data was sent to me on Friday. There have essentially been five waves of problems that residents have had to endure:

The initial, bags-in-the-street, in-your-face fiasco

In April the contractor’s mobilisation plan failed. The rounds were not right. The vehicles purchased by Enterprise were either too big or weren’t ready in time. Rubbish was left in the street. Cllrs Bell and Mahfouz frantically cycled around the Borough trying to keep up with the chaos. This phase passed off pretty quickly for most people. Two weeks of mess, bags piled up, streets not swept, no record kept of street cleaning. The council would like you to think that was the end of it.

The council fails to clean the streets

For three months the council badly failed to clean the streets. For three months a third or more of all of the entire Borough’s roads were unacceptably dirty. In month four a quarter of streets were unacceptably dirty after the council went back to the old system of allowing the contractor to clean up failed streets. After five months one street in eight is still unacceptably dirty and we still have twice as many dirty streets as last year.

The council sends pretty much all re-cycling to Kent

After a couple of weeks it was decided that kerbside re-cycling could not be continued. All the borough’s dry re-cycling was shoved in lorries and taken to Kent. This lasted for four months in which time 87% of all dry re-cycling was mixed up and effectively kerbside re-cycling stopped. The council never told the truth about this.

Double spike in missed collections

In the first month of the Ealing Rubbish Fiasco over 8,000 collections were missed. This was probably an under estimate as it would only take a couple of calls to tell the council that an entire road was uncollected. This seemed to get better in May and June and then spiked up again in July and August as the contractor took delivery of new recycling vehicles and re-jigged the collection rounds which their staff couldn’t get right. There were almost as many missed collection in August as there were in April. Over 25,000 missed collections in five months, five times as many as the previous year.

Council still failing to clean up after itself

Residents will have noted that even in October the council is still failing to clear up after itself. The street cleaners leave their bags out for days on end and fly-tips are up 31% over five months. Combine the 50% cut in envirocrime officers checking up on how businesses handle their waste and the look of the borough has turned noticeably worse. Plastic bags in the street are a bigger feature of our life than they were six months ago.

The council has spent six months telling us that things weren’t that bad. They were and we have a noticeably dirtier environment now and many residents have had their faith in the recycling system knocked.

Categories
Ealing and Northfield Health, housing and adult social services

15,500 take the trouble to respond to NHS NWL consultation

According to the Evening Standard this morning 15,500 responded to the NHS North West London’s “Shaping a Healthier Future” consultation.

Local Conservatives spent the summer encouraging residents to respond to the consultation as we were acutely aware that this was probably the most effective way of influencing the NHS decision makers.

We delivered leaflets explaining the consultation to households and had a large team at the rally on Ealing Common on September 15th to physically hand out the consultation packs and explain to people how they might respond. It is gratifying therefore to see that such a lot of people took the trouble to respond. It is almost 1% of the population of the area and probably represents 3-4% of households. Wow!

Categories
Parking Services

Parking danger zones – August

Since April the council has been publishing information monthly on where it is giving out tickets. This is something I started off when I was in charge and I have persuaded them to resume this habit after a break caused by a re-organisation of the council’s website apparently.

The council recently published the August data, see here.

I have been keeping a track of those road features/offences that generate more than 200 tickets per month, see below.

It is good to see that only 4 sites crossed the 200 threshold in September but these four sites alone generated 13.6% of all tickets in the borough. Unfortunately the Otter Road yellow box junction on Greenford Road is still top of the table for the fifth month running. 4.9% of all the borough’s tickets were written on this one junction this month. This one junction is worth something like £500K to the council every year. This is disproportionate.

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Ealing and Northfield

Please take part in the NHS consultation now

I spent 18 minutes this evening responding to NHS North West London’s “Shaping a Healthier Future” consultation document. Obviously I have previously read the background papers and discussed the issue a number of times so I haven’t included all of that time in my 18 minutes. The point is that ticking the boxes does not really take that long and you should not be easily put off.

The main thing to do in my view is to “Strongly oppose” the three options A, B and C on offer as they all three move services away from our borough (questions 24a, 25a and 26a). Under the catch all question 34 I wrote:

All three options presented are bad for Ealing. Option A is particularly inequitable. They all move services away from Ealing.

My answers are not particularly sophisticated, they don’t need to be. If you want to get inside the decision maker’s heads and make them question their assumptions then please just respond to the consultation. You don’t have to be eloquent or long-winded. Just the fact of receiving lots of individual responses will shake the decision makers.

The council has spent £56K on a very detailed, technical reponse to the consultation authored by ex-NHS trust chief executive Tim Rideout. This will be discussed at an extraordinary cabinet meeting on Friday at 3pm. See all of the papers here.

The council can do the detailed, technical stuff. You do the emotional, personal stuff.

The consultation closes on Monday. Get cracking.